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[ 26 July 2004 ]
Registration Ends With Karzai Facing Unexpected Rival in Yunus Qanooni
Bruce Pannier
Monday (July 26) was the final day for presidential candidates to register for Afghanistan's October 9 elections. The day was marked by the unexpected emergence of a possible rival to incumbent Hamid Karzai, the longtime favorite. Yunus Qanooni, the education minister and a key figure in the Northern Alliance, also announced his intention to run for the country's top post. In a further surprise, Karzai did n-o-t pick Defense Minister Mohammed Fahim, one of the country's most powerful warlords, as one of his two running mates. This has raised speculation that Fahim may put his support behind fellow Northern Alliance member Qanooni. RFE/RL correspondent Bruce Pannier reports this would present a serious challenge to Karzai's re-election bid.
PRAGUE, July 26 (RFE/RL) -- On the last day for registering candidates for Afghanistan's October 9 presidential elections, a political tempest has broken out.

Defense Minister Mohammed Fahim -- who was long expected to be named as Hamid Karzai's vice-presidential candidate -- has instead expressed support for another presidential hopeful: Yunus Qanooni, a member of the Northern Alliance. Qanooni's candidacy was also unexpected.

Karzai, the incumbent, officially announced his candidacy to the press Monday afternoon. "At 1530 (Kabul time), my Afghan brothers and I went to the independent Election Commission. We presented our registration forms for elections to the president and members of the commission," Karzai said on Monday.

Fahim's apparent change of political allegiance comes after reported tensions between the defense minister and Karzai.

Karzai on Sunday (July 25) suddenly postponed a trip to Pakistan, officially because of the impending registration deadline.

Besides handing in required forms and 10,000 signatures from eligible voters, all candidates for the presidency had to declare their two vice-presidential running mates Monday. Registration was extended until 2200 Kabul time.

Karzai, a Pashtun leader, was expected to select current Defense Minister and Vice President Mohammad Fahim, a Tajik, as one of those running mates.

But Afghan law would require Fahim to resign from his current posts as vice president and defense minister in order to run on the Karzai ticket. This is something Fahim reportedly refused to do.

Karzai chose instead to name for his first vice-presidential nominee Ahmad Zia Masoud, the younger brother of legendary mujahedeen commander Ahmad Shah Masoud, who was assassinated in September 2001.

For his second nominee, Karzai named Hazara leader Karim Khalili.

Ahmad Zia Masoud is also the son-in-law of former Afghan President Burhanuddin Rabbani and recently served as Afghanistan's ambassador to Russia.

Karzai said Masoud was well-suited for an Afghanistan in transition and added: "For the future of Afghans, for the future of Afghan reconstruction, and a re-emerging Afghanistan -- for these reasons, we announce Mr. Akhmad Zia Masoud as first vice president."

According to the "New York Times," relations between Karzai and Fahim have grown increasingly tense. The paper reported that Fahim did not attend a usual Saturday morning meeting with Karzai and other cabinet members, and that generals from the Northern Alliance faction loyal to Fahim were called to Kabul and put on alert.

Tensions between the two had reportedly calmed by Sunday. But Qanooni's candidacy -- and Fahim's apparent refusal to join the Karzai ticket -- has raised speculation that Fahim may back Qanooni rather than Karzai.

Karzai expressed regret that Fahim would not share his ticket, but dismissed the existence of a larger rift

"We have fond memories of our dear and great brother, Marshal Fahim Khan. In the past two-and-a-half years, we have spent some very hard days together. I am sorry he is not with us in today's activities," Karzai said.

A political partnership between Qanooni and Fahim would represent a serious split in Karzai's political circle and could mean a strong blow to his re-election bid. But Karzai sought to downplay the significance of Qanooni's election bid saying: "In regards to Mr. Qanooni's candidacy, he requested to be a candidate and sent me his resignation. I did not want to accept his resignation; we want him to stay with us as education minister. But he has made a decision, and because today Afghans in Afghanistan have the right to be a candidate, to vote, to be voted for, he is using his rights, and may God help him on the path he has chosen."

For his part, Qanooni -- who in the past has also served as interior minister -- on Monday, expressed concern about Afghanistan's political development in the three years since U.S.-led forces routed the Taliban militia.

"Recently, I have had concerns, because there have been some violations in the new constitution and in the Bonn Agreement, and what I had expected in the past have now been put at risk. This has prompted me to use my constitutional right to be able to serve my people. Thus, I have decided to run for president in Afghanistan's first elections," Qanooni said.

Another former Northern Alliance commander, ethnic Uzbek Abdul Rashid Dostum from the northern Mazar-i-Sharif area, declared his candidacy last week.

Dostum's support is limited to the northern areas of the country. His support base of mainly ethnic Uzbeks -- less than 10 percent of the country's population -- can deliver him only a limited number of votes.

But the Mazar-i-Sharif area has been Dostum's personal fiefdom since the days of the Soviet occupation and ongoing battles with rival paramilitary commanders in the region have shown that Dostum is not easily swayed by orders coming from Kabul.

Another presidential candidate is Latif Pedram, author, poet and scholar, who recently returned to Afghanistan after living abroad for several years in self-imposed exile. Pedram has urged other writers not to vote for any candidates who supported the Taliban militia in the past and has also criticized the distribution of aid money in Afghanistan, saying northern areas had not received their fair share of those funds.

A Tajik, Pedram may appeal to the educated Dari-speakers in the country, but it is questionable how much support he could gather outside that group.
On a positive note, the UN said today that almost eight million of the estimated nine to 10 million eligible voters in Afghanistan have now registered. The UN said 41 percent of those registered voters were women.

 


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